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  • 1 # 使用者9388382839044

    以ar(3)-garch(2,1)模型為例:

    首先在主視窗輸入

    lsrrrr(-1)(-2)(-3)

    得出

    variablecoefficientstd.errort-statisticprob.

    rr(-1)0.0076060.0590140.1288830.8975

    rr(-2)0.0580050.0585490.9907070.3227

    rr(-3)0.1211100.0589852.0532450.0410

    然後在點estimate在下拉選項中選擇arch

    在命令視窗中再次輸入

    lsrrrr(-1)(-2)(-3)

    並在arch出填入2,garch處為1,得出結果

    variancebackcast:on

    garch=c(4)+c(5)*resid(-1)^2+c(6)*resid(-2)^2+c(7)

    *garch(-1)

    coefficientstd.errorz-statisticprob.

    rr(-1)0.0133920.0568630.2355140.8138

    rr(-2)0.1204810.0621461.9386710.0525

    rr(-3)0.0959210.0560701.7107430.0871

    varianceequation

    c0.0001273.59e-053.5533270.0004

    resid(-1)^2-0.0439070.029463-1.4902530.1362

    resid(-2)^20.2486250.0788553.1529600.0016

    garch(-1)0.0797690.2119420.3763720.7066

    r-squared0.003674meandependentvar0.001397

    adjustedr-squared-0.017908s.d.dependentvar0.013305

    s.e.ofregression0.013423akaikeinfocriterion-5.819411

    sumsquaredresid0.049910schwarzcriterion-5.729472

    loglikelihood833.3564durbin-watsonstat1.974819

    rr是上證綜合指數的周收益,用此ar(3)-garch(2,1)是用殘差來檢驗超額收益的。

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